FLA
6–3
NYI
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 32-19-3
6–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 24-21-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21421227633
NYI
05316013334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 32-19-3 · NYI 24-21-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Islanders
The Panthers were outchanced (3.1 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Jakub Skarek allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 34 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 2.4 xG · 33 shots
NYI 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 00:39 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 12:52 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Kyle MacLean · 2nd 03:10 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 10:00 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Marc Gatcomb · 2nd 14:51 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 17:52 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:09 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 10:41 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 18:21 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 38.
FLA 38%NYI 62%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 00:39 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 12:52 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Kyle MacLean · 2nd 03:10 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 10:00 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Marc Gatcomb · 2nd 14:51 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 17:52 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:09 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 10:41 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Sam Reinhart, Aleksander Barkov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
8
Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5–3
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
