Florida Panthers
FLA · 34-20-3
5–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 29-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
016420112548
OTT
190909127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 34-20-3 · OTT 29-23-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers beat the Senators
The Panthers earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 48 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 4.9 xG · 48 shots
OTT 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 06:38 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 11:36 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 16:26 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 2nd 17:58 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 18:38 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 81.
FLA 81%OTT 19%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 06:38 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:18 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 11:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 16:26 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 2nd 17:58 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 18:38 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
43/47 saves · 4 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.