FLA
4–3
EDM
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 36-21-3
4–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 34-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
111113212436
EDM
17110110327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 36-21-3 · EDM 34-21-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Oilers
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Panthers won 4–3. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 2.9 xG · 36 shots
EDM 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Uvis Balinskis · 1st 12:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Brett Kulak · 1st 14:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 15:30 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 17:30 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Nate Schmidt · 3rd 11:08 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 13:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 16:35 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 57.
FLA 57%EDM 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Uvis Balinskis · 1st 12:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Brett Kulak · 1st 14:41 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 15:30 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 17:30 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Nate Schmidt · 3rd 11:08 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 13:51 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 16:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
