FLA 2–1 TBL Final · W
Panthers/Schedule/Recap Tue, Mar 4, 2025 · 2024-25 regular season
Florida Panthers
FLA · 38-21-3
2–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 35-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT FLA 07211011229 TBL 01007112129 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 38-21-3 · TBL 35-21-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1

Panthers beat the Lightning

The Panthers were outchanced (3.8 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Lightning created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 29 shots on goal.

FLA 2.0 xG · 29 shots TBL 3.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 0.6 · 1.0
2nd 0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing 0.7 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 23.
FLA 23%TBL 77%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 0 penalties
← Panthers shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
09:02 Aleksander Barkov
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2
15:16 Aleksander Barkov PPGWG
Mackie Samoskevich, Aaron Ekblad · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2–0
3rd period
3
02:07 Brayden Point
Darren Raddysh, Jake Guentzel · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2–1
No penalties
Goaltending
+2.8
vs expected
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
0.0
vs expected
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team FLATBL
Shots on goal
29
29
Expected goals
2.0
3.8
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Power play
1/0
0/0
Penalty minutes
0
0