Florida Panthers
FLA · 40-21-3
4–0
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-32-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
111213112436
BUF
090903021
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 40-21-3 · BUF 24-32-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers beat the Sabres
The Panthers earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Vitek Vanecek stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 21 shots on goal.
FLA 3.2 xG · 36 shots
BUF 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
A.J. Greer · 1st 07:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 09:32 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 17:09 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 19:26 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 69.
FLA 69%BUF 31%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
A.J. Greer · 1st 07:20 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 09:32 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 17:09 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 19:26 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Nate Schmidt, Dmitry Kulikov · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/21 saves · 0 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.