FLA
4–3
PIT
Final / SO · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 43-25-3
4–3
Final / SOW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 29-32-11
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
FLA
14114111021431
PIT
2161603020327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
FLA 43-25-3 · PIT 29-32-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–1
Panthers beat the Penguins
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Panthers erased the deficit with two unanswered goals — Lundell's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. The Panthers owned the 3rd period, 1.4 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 3.3 xG · 31 shots
PIT 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 11:25 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 14:26 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 19:25 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:51 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 09:25 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 14:29 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 66.
FLA 66%PIT 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 11:25 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 14:26 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 19:25 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:51 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 09:25 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 14:29 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Panthers
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
