Florida Panthers
FLA · 45-29-4
3–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 47-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
11401429337
TOR
051904118
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–1
FLA 45-29-4 · TOR 47-26-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–1
Panthers beat the Maple Leafs
The Panthers earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.0, and a 3–1 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.0, on 37 and 18 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 37 shots
TOR 1.0 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Forsling · 1st 09:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 01:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:04 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 19:13 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 80.
FLA 80%TOR 20%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Forsling · 1st 09:26 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 01:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:04 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 19:13 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.