Florida Panthers
FLA · 46-29-4
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 36-35-7
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
01031219431
DET
1601205123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
FLA 46-29-4 · DET 36-35-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
Panthers beat the Red Wings
The Panthers earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
FLA 3.2 xG · 31 shots
DET 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 06:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 02:58 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mackie Samoskevich · 2nd 08:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brad Marchand · 2nd 16:21 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 14:03 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 69.
FLA 69%DET 31%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 06:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 02:58 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mackie Samoskevich · 2nd 08:46 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brad Marchand · 2nd 16:21 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 14:03 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.