Florida Panthers
FLA · 47-29-4
3–2
Final / SOW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 35-37-7
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
FLA
0921508021334
BUF
1701117030228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–1
FLA 47-29-4 · BUF 35-37-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–1
Panthers beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Panthers won it in a shootout. The Sabres scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
FLA 2.7 xG · 34 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 19:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 05:00 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 14:47 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
4
JJ Peterka · 3rd 12:18 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 57.
FLA 57%BUF 43%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 19:41 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 05:00 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 14:47 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
4
JJ Peterka · 3rd 12:18 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Panthers
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.