FLA
5–4
TOR
Final / OT · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 5-3
5–4
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
110390819536
TOR
212141708431
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
FLA 5-3 · TOR 6-3 · Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
Panthers beat the Maple Leafs
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Panthers erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Verhaeghe's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Marchand's goal. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 31 shots on goal.
FLA 3.9 xG · 36 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
OT
0.9 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 00:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
John Tavares · 1st 05:57 · 0–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 07:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 02:52 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:13 · 2–3 · poke shot, a great chance (51%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 05:17 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jonah Gadjovich · 2nd 15:07 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 10:56 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Brad Marchand · OT 15:27 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 73.
FLA 73%TOR 27%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 00:23 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
John Tavares · 1st 05:57 · 0–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 07:38 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 02:52 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:13 · 2–3
Poke shot, a great chance (51%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 05:17 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jonah Gadjovich · 2nd 15:07 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 10:56 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Brad Marchand · OT 15:27 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Max Pacioretty, William Nylander · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
