FLA
0–2
TOR
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 7-4
0–2
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0201208022
TOR
070624217
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
FLA 7-4 · TOR 7-5 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Panthers fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (1.8 to 2.0 expected goals); the Panthers lost 0–2. Joseph Woll stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 22 and 17 shots on goal.
FLA 1.8 xG · 22 shots
TOR 2.0 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 3rd 06:20 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Max Pacioretty · 3rd 14:17 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 46.
FLA 46%TOR 54%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 3rd 06:20 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Max Pacioretty · 3rd 14:17 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/22 saves · 0 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
