FLA
6–2
CAR
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 11-4
6–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1708513628
CAR
0711018225
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Panthers lead the series 3–0
FLA 11-4 · CAR 8-5 · Game 3 — the Panthers lead the series 3–0
Panthers beat the Hurricanes
The Panthers earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.9, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
FLA 3.5 xG · 28 shots
CAR 1.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Niko Mikkola · 1st 12:07 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 14:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Jesper Boqvist · 3rd 01:29 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Niko Mikkola · 3rd 06:26 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 06:55 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 09:31 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 10:37 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 11:01 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 75.
FLA 75%CAR 25%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Niko Mikkola · 1st 12:07 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 14:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Jesper Boqvist · 3rd 01:29 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Niko Mikkola · 3rd 06:26 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 06:55 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 09:31 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 10:37 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 11:01 · PP · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Evan Rodrigues, Aleksander Barkov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
