FLA
6–1
EDM
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 14-6
6–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-6
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21029212631
EDM
01211308133
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Panthers lead the series 2–1
FLA 14-6 · EDM 13-6 · Game 3 — the Panthers lead the series 2–1
Panthers beat the Oilers
The Panthers earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 33 shots on goal.
FLA 3.2 xG · 31 shots
EDM 2.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brad Marchand · 1st 00:56 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 17:45 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 01:40 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 03:00 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 2nd 07:26 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 03:27 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 16:10 · 6–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 66.
FLA 66%EDM 34%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brad Marchand · 1st 00:56 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 17:45 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 01:40 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 03:00 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 2nd 07:26 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 03:27 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 16:10 · PP · 6–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
