FLA
4–5
EDM
Final / OT · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 14-7
4–5
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 14-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
3170101904440
EDM
073171714535
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
FLA 14-7 · EDM 14-6 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Panthers fell to the Oilers
The Panthers let a 3–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with five unanswered goals — Podkolzin's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal. The Oilers owned the 2nd period, 2.4 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 4.1, on 40 and 35 shots on goal.
FLA 3.8 xG · 40 shots
EDM 4.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
2.3 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 2.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
OT
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 11:40 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 16:56 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Anton Lundell · 1st 19:18 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 03:33 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 12:47 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 15:05 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Jake Walman · 3rd 13:36 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:40 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Leon Draisaitl · OT 11:18 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 46.
FLA 46%EDM 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 11:40 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 16:56 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Anton Lundell · 1st 19:18 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 03:33 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 12:47 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 15:05 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Jake Walman · 3rd 13:36 · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:40 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Leon Draisaitl · OT 11:18 · GWG · 4–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Kasperi Kapanen, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–4
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
