Florida Panthers
FLA · 16-7
5–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 14-8
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
291927525
EDM
01001019129
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Panthers lead the series 4–2
FLA 16-7 · EDM 14-8 · Game 6 — the Panthers lead the series 4–2
Panthers beat the Oilers
The Panthers earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–1 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 2.9 xG · 25 shots
EDM 1.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
2nd
0.8 · 0.5
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 04:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 19:13 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:31 · 3–0 · deflected shot, a great chance (33%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 13:26 · 4–0 · snap shot, into an empty net
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 14:55 · 5–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 15:18 · 5–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (68%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 69.
FLA 69%EDM 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 04:36 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 19:13 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:31 · 3–0
Deflected shot, a great chance (33%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 13:26 · EN · 4–0
Snap shot, into an empty net
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 14:55 · EN · 5–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 15:18 · 5–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (68%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.