FLA
6–2
OTT
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 3-0-0
6–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
292929627
OTT
1807113228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 3-0-0 · OTT 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Senators
The Panthers earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Linus Ullmark allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 27 shots
OTT 1.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brad Marchand · 1st 06:08 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 09:54 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 1st 17:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 00:35 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anton Lundell · 2nd 18:28 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 05:29 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 11:14 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Shane Pinto · 3rd 17:35 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 72.
FLA 72%OTT 28%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 6 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brad Marchand · 1st 06:08 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 09:54 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 1st 17:33 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 00:35 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Anton Lundell · 2nd 18:28 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 05:29 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 11:14 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Shane Pinto · 3rd 17:35 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:33
Mackie Samoskevich· High-sticking
Mackie Samoskevich· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:01
Ridly Greig· Interference
Ridly Greig· Interference
Ekblad scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
4
Brad Marchand, Seth Jones · Power play (Greig, interference) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:38
Michael Amadio· Tripping
Michael Amadio· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:03
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Lundell scored on this power play
Minor
5
Jeff Petry, Carter Verhaeghe · Power play (Tkachuk, roughing) · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4–1
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
03:42
Thomas Chabot· High-sticking
Thomas Chabot· High-sticking
Samoskevich scored on this power play
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:41
Sam Bennett· Tripping
Sam Bennett· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/27 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Panthers went 3-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Senators power plays.