FLA
4–3
DAL
Final / SO · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 6-5-1
4–3
Final / SOW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 6-3-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
FLA
0621217031428
DAL
052715050322
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 6-5-1 · DAL 6-3-3 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Stars
The Panthers earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 2.0, and they won it in a shootout. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 22 shots on goal.
FLA 3.0 xG · 28 shots
DAL 2.0 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
OT
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brad Marchand · 2nd 01:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:02 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 14:47 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Justin Hryckowian · 2nd 15:01 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 12:26 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 17:19 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 68.
FLA 68%DAL 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 3 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brad Marchand · 2nd 01:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 04:02 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 14:47 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Justin Hryckowian · 2nd 15:01 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 12:26 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 17:19 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:52
Nathan Bastian· Slashing
Nathan Bastian· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:38
Gustav Forsling· Hooking
Gustav Forsling· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
13:35
Seth Jones· High-sticking
Seth Jones· High-sticking
Johnston scored on this power play
Double minor
3
Sam Steel, Mikko Rantanen · Power play (Jones, high-sticking) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2–1
4
Thomas Harley, Sam Steel · Power play (Jones, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
Shootout
1
Anton Lundell
Save
Anton Lundell
Save2
Jason Robertson
Save
Jason Robertson
Save3
Sam Reinhart
Save
Sam Reinhart
Save4
Tyler Seguin
Miss
Tyler Seguin
Miss5
Brad Marchand
Goal
Brad Marchand
Goal6
Mikko Rantanen
Save
Mikko Rantanen
Save
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Panthers went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 2 on 2 Stars power plays.