Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-7-1
6–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 8-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
1721239628
WSH
117010213340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 9-7-1 · WSH 8-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Capitals
The Panthers earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Logan Thompson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 28 and 40 shots on goal.
FLA 3.2 xG · 28 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 08:25 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 08:53 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Cole Schwindt · 2nd 03:05 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:41 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Justin Sourdif · 3rd 00:52 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 04:54 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Seth Jones · 3rd 09:47 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Rasmus Sandin · 3rd 12:40 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 18:30 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 61.
FLA 61%WSH 39%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 08:25 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 08:53 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Cole Schwindt · 2nd 03:05 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:41 · PP · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Justin Sourdif · 3rd 00:52 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 04:54 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Seth Jones · 3rd 09:47 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Rasmus Sandin · 3rd 12:40 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:33
Seth Jones· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:41
Tom Wilson· Holding
Killed
Minor
3
Gustav Forsling, Eetu Luostarinen · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:55
Jakob Chychrun· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
14:21
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Reinhart scored on this power play
Bench minor
4
Carter Verhaeghe, Seth Jones · Power play (too many men on the ice) · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:35
Nic Dowd· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:35
Nic Dowd· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:37
Donovan Sebrango· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Panthers went 2-for-5 on the power play and killed all 2 Capitals power plays.