Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-11-1
3–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 9-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
22008113341
CGY
214210110534
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 12-11-1 · CGY 9-14-3 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Flames
The Panthers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Flames came back with five unanswered goals — Weegar's equalizer — and won 3–5. Devin Cooley stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 5.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 41 and 34 shots on goal.
FLA 5.6 xG · 41 shots
CGY 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
2.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
2.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 00:54 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 02:58 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
3
Yan Kuznetsov · 1st 05:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 10:41 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Morgan Frost · 2nd 00:55 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 18:44 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 11:54 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Joel Farabee · 3rd 18:57 · 3–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 86.
FLA 86%CGY 14%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 00:54 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 02:58 · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
3
Yan Kuznetsov · 1st 05:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 10:41 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Morgan Frost · 2nd 00:55 · PP · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 18:44 · GWG · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 11:54 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Joel Farabee · 3rd 18:57 · EN · 3–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:35
MacKenzie Weegar· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:17
Aaron Ekblad· Tripping
Frost scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:17
A.J. Greer· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
5
Rasmus Andersson, Nazem Kadri · Power play (Ekblad, tripping) · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:47
Rasmus Andersson· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 5.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Panthers went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Flames power plays.