FLA
1–4
TOR
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-12-1
1–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 12-11-3
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0111906126
TOR
211010210431
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 12-12-1 · TOR 12-11-3 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Panthers were outchanced (3.0 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Maple Leafs owned the 2nd period, 1.4 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
FLA 1.8 xG · 26 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Stecher · 1st 05:24 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dakota Joshua · 1st 07:54 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Scott Laughton · 3rd 12:18 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 19:41 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 30.
FLA 30%TOR 70%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Stecher · 1st 05:24 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dakota Joshua · 1st 07:54 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 14:43 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Scott Laughton · 3rd 12:18 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
John Tavares · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Jack Devine· Hooking
Jack Devine· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:21
Aaron Ekblad· Holding
Aaron Ekblad· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:40
Dakota Joshua· Interference
Dakota Joshua· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:52
Evan Rodrigues· Tripping
Evan Rodrigues· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Panthers went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 3 Maple Leafs power plays.