Florida Panthers
FLA · 19-13-2
4–3
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 22-9-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
FLA
012011315031441
CAR
11001126020329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 19-13-2 · CAR 22-9-3 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–3 in the 3rd period, the Panthers erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Reinhart's equalizer with 0:42 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 41 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 3.6 xG · 41 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
OT
0.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 11:53 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:27 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 07:34 · 0–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 10:16 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 17:35 · 2–3 · bat shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:18 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 64.
FLA 64%CAR 36%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 11:53 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:27 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 07:34 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 10:16 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 17:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Bat shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:18 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
1
Eric Robinson, Shayne Gostisbehere · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:48
K'Andre Miller· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:08
Jesper Boqvist· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:00
Sean Walker· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:35
Brad Marchand· Cross-checking
Aho scored on this power play
Minor
3
Andrei Svechnikov, Seth Jarvis · Power play (Marchand, cross-checking) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
0–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:48
Anton Lundell· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:07
Andrei Svechnikov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:17
A.J. Greer· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:17
Sebastian Aho· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
Shootout
1
Anton Lundell
Save
2
Sebastian Aho
Save
3
Sam Reinhart
Goal
4
Andrei Svechnikov
Miss
5
Brad Marchand
Miss
6
Jackson Blake
Goal
7
Evan Rodrigues
Goal
8
Nikolaj Ehlers
Save
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Panthers went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Hurricanes power plays.