Florida Panthers
FLA · 19-14-2
2–6
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 14-15-8
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
0721408229
STL
1729316632
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
FLA 19-14-2 · STL 14-15-8 · First meeting this season — the Panthers trail the season series 0–1
Panthers fell to the Blues
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.5 expected goals); the Panthers lost 2–6. Daniil Tarasov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 32 shots on goal.
FLA 2.5 xG · 29 shots
STL 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 09:59 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonatan Berggren · 2nd 01:55 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
A.J. Greer · 2nd 07:35 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (36%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 12:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Justin Faulk · 2nd 19:59 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 12:02 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Robert Thomas · 3rd 12:53 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 16:28 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 51.
FLA 51%STL 49%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 09:59 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonatan Berggren · 2nd 01:55 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
A.J. Greer · 2nd 07:35 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (36%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 12:45 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Justin Faulk · 2nd 19:59 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 12:02 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Robert Thomas · 3rd 12:53 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 16:28 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:40
Carter Verhaeghe· Hooking
Berggren scored on this power play
Minor
2
Pavel Buchnevich, Robert Thomas · Power play (Verhaeghe, hooking) · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:09
Jack Studnicka· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
07:35
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:44
Colton Parayko· Holding
Reinhart scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Uvis Balinskis· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:46
Tyler Tucker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:15
Justin Faulk· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Panthers went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Blues power plays.