FLA 2–4 TBL Final · L
Panthers/Schedule/Recap Sat, Dec 27, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Florida Panthers
FLA · 20-15-2
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 21-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT FLA 1518013226 TBL 2121815425 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
FLA 20-15-2 · TBL 21-13-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2

Panthers fell to the Lightning

The Panthers created the better chances (3.9 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.

FLA 3.9 xG · 26 shots TBL 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 1.0 · 1.0
2nd 0.5 · 0.8
3rd · the swing 2.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 70.
FLA 70%TBL 30%

Goals and penalties

6 goals · 45 penalties
← Panthers shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
03:25 Sam Bennett· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
03:25 Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
03:25 Sam Bennett· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
03:25 Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
03:25 Zemgus Girgensons· Cross-checking
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
1
05:37 Eetu Luostarinen
Mackie Samoskevich, Evan Rodrigues · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
1–0
PEN
06:48 A.J. Greer· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
12:49 · Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
2
13:05 Jake Guentzel SH
Anthony Cirelli, Max Crozier · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1–1
PEN
14:15 Aaron Ekblad· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
19:52 Pontus Holmberg
Yanni Gourde, Declan Carlile · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
4
02:31 Nikita Kucherov GWG
Brayden Point, Gage Goncalves · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
1–3
PEN
03:48 Mackie Samoskevich· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
06:59 Curtis Douglas· Roughing
Marchand scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
PEN
06:59 Curtis Douglas· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
06:59 Luke Kunin· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
5
07:05 Brad Marchand PP
Sam Bennett, Sam Reinhart · Power play (Douglas, roughing) · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2–3
PEN
10:14 Aaron Ekblad· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Seth Jones· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Anthony Cirelli· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Evan Rodrigues· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Max Crozier· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Oliver Bjorkstrand· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Oliver Bjorkstrand· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 A.J. Greer· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 A.J. Greer· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Carter Verhaeghe· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Carter Verhaeghe· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:30 Jake Guentzel· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
01:34 Scott Sabourin· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
01:34 Scott Sabourin· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
01:34 Scott Sabourin· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
05:34 Max Crozier· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:30 Sam Bennett· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
10:53 Oliver Bjorkstrand· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
12:14 Sam Bennett· Boarding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Sam Bennett· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Uvis Balinskis· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Brad Marchand· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:39 Max Crozier· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
6
19:04 Nikita Kucherov EN
Anthony Cirelli · backhand shot, into an empty net
2–4
PEN
19:27 Scott Sabourin· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
19:27 Luke Kunin· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
19:27 Curtis Douglas· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
19:27 Scott Sabourin· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
19:27 J.J. Moser· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
Goaltending
−0.5
vs expected
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
+1.9
vs expected
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team FLATBL
Shots on goal
26
25
Expected goals
3.9
2.5
Hits
27
32
Blocks
18
10
Faceoffs
52%
48%
Power play
1/6
0/6
Penalty minutes
49
87
The Panthers went 1-for-6 on the power play and killed all 6 Lightning power plays.