Florida Panthers
FLA · 21-15-2
5–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 20-14-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
21008311529
WSH
21001215327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
FLA 21-15-2 · WSH 20-14-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 2–0
Panthers beat the Capitals
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.6 expected goals); the Panthers won 5–3. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.6, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
FLA 3.5 xG · 29 shots
WSH 3.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 03:53 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 04:35 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 12:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tom Wilson · 1st 19:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 03:11 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Brad Marchand · 3rd 06:16 · 3–3 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 13:12 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:25 · 5–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 48.
FLA 48%WSH 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 03:53 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Anton Lundell · 1st 04:35 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 12:45 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tom Wilson · 1st 19:17 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 03:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Brad Marchand · 3rd 06:16 · 3–3
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 13:12 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:25 · EN · 5–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:33
Anthony Beauvillier· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:44
Ethen Frank· Slashing
Reinhart scored on this power play
Minor
3
Seth Jones, Brad Marchand · Power play (Frank, slashing) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:54
A.J. Greer· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
18:04
Seth Jones· High-sticking
Wilson scored on this power play
Double minor
4
Dylan Strome, Jakob Chychrun · Power play (Jones, high-sticking) · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:20
Gustav Forsling· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:48
Ryan Leonard· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:50
Nic Dowd· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:15
Alex Ovechkin· Interference
Killed
Minor
6
Sam Bennett, Seth Jones · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:55
Gustav Forsling· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:19
Ryan Leonard· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:12
Eetu Luostarinen· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Panthers went 1-for-6 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Capitals power plays.