FLA 2–1 COL Final · W
Panthers/Schedule/Recap Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Florida Panthers
FLA · 22-16-3
2–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 31-3-7
1ST2ND3RDT FLA 1141506225 COL 11101205128 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 22-16-3 · COL 31-3-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1

Panthers beat the Avalanche

Chances were even (2.5 to 2.5 expected goals); the Panthers won 2–1. Daniil Tarasov stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.

FLA 2.5 xG · 25 shots COL 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st 1.3 · 1.0
2nd 0.8 · 1.0
3rd 0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 49.
FLA 49%COL 51%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 7 penalties
← Panthers shoot this way Avalanche shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
06:27 Sam Bennett
Unassisted · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2
Josh Manson, Brock Nelson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
14:04 Uvis Balinskis· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:44 Gabriel Landeskog· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:49 Josh Manson· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
03:22 Mackie Samoskevich· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
08:48 Jeff Petry· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:52 Evan Rodrigues· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
18:12 Aaron Ekblad GWG
Unassisted · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
PEN
06:46 Samuel Girard· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
Goaltending
+1.5
vs expected
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.5
vs expected
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team FLACOL
Shots on goal
25
28
Expected goals
2.5
2.5
Hits
25
15
Blocks
8
10
Faceoffs
45%
55%
Power play
0/3
0/4
Penalty minutes
8
6
The Panthers went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Avalanche power plays.