FLA
3–5
BUF
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 28-24-3
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-18-5
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
29119014342
BUF
281626520
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
FLA 28-24-3 · BUF 32-18-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
Panthers fell to the Sabres
The Panthers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Sabres came back with five unanswered goals — Krebs's equalizer — and won 3–5. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 42 and 20 shots on goal.
FLA 4.5 xG · 42 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.7 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sandis Vilmanis · 1st 00:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 05:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 15:03 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Peyton Krebs · 1st 18:26 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 2nd 05:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Uvis Balinskis · 2nd 18:59 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Jason Zucker · 3rd 05:31 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Josh Doan · 3rd 17:51 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 77.
FLA 77%BUF 23%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 7 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sandis Vilmanis · 1st 00:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 05:54 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 15:03 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Peyton Krebs · 1st 18:26 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Zach Benson · 2nd 05:44 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Uvis Balinskis · 2nd 18:59 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Jason Zucker · 3rd 05:31 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Josh Doan · 3rd 17:51 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:36
Ryan McLeod· Delaying game
Ryan McLeod· Delaying game
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:51
Jeff Petry· Tripping
Jeff Petry· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:11
Jack Quinn· Slashing
Jack Quinn· Slashing
Balinskis scored on this power play
Minor
6
Sam Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe · Power play (Quinn, slashing) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:35
Aaron Ekblad· Holding
Aaron Ekblad· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:19
Cole Schwindt· Hooking
Cole Schwindt· Hooking
Zucker scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:15
Rasmus Dahlin· Tripping
Rasmus Dahlin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:08
Bowen Byram· Slashing
Bowen Byram· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Panthers went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Sabres power plays.