FLA 2–3 BUF Final · L
Panthers/Schedule/Recap Fri, Feb 27, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Florida Panthers
FLA · 30-26-3
2–3
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 34-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT FLA 01111118230 BUF 116012211339 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–3
FLA 30-26-3 · BUF 34-19-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–3

Panthers fell to the Sabres

Chances were even (3.2 to 3.0 expected goals); the Panthers lost 2–3. Alex Lyon stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 39 shots on goal.

FLA 3.2 xG · 29 shots BUF 3.0 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.9 · 0.8
2nd 1.2 · 1.6
3rd 1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 53.
FLA 53%BUF 47%

Goals and penalties

5 goals · 7 penalties
← Panthers shoot this way Sabres shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
02:00 Beck Malenstyn· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:57 A.J. Greer· Hooking
Tuch scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
1
17:48 Alex Tuch PP
Ryan McLeod, Bowen Byram · Power play (Greer, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
0–1
2nd period
PEN
09:47 Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
2 min
Bench minor
PEN
13:45 Michael Kesselring· Hooking
Tkachuk scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
2
13:51 Matthew Tkachuk PP
Brad Marchand, Sam Bennett · Power play (Kesselring, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1–1
PEN
17:55 Gustav Forsling· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
05:20 Josh Dunne· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
Josh Norris, Noah Ostlund · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–2
PEN
11:38 Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
2 min
Bench minor
4
18:43 Peyton Krebs ENGWG
Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch · wrist shot, into an empty net
1–3
5
19:25 Sam Bennett EXTRA ATTACKER
Unassisted
2–3
Goaltending
+2.5
vs expected
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 4.5 xGA Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+3.3
vs expected
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 4.3 xGA Stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team FLABUF
Shots on goal
29
39
Expected goals
3.2
3.0
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
63%
37%
Power play
1/4
1/3
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Panthers went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Sabres power plays.