FLA
2–3
MIN
Final · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 35-33-3
2–3
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 41-20-12
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
060826220
MIN
019211120350
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
FLA 35-33-3 · MIN 41-20-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Panthers fell to the Wild
The Panthers were outchanced (4.1 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Ek's winner came with 0:05 left. Daniil Tarasov stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 50 and 20 shots on goal.
FLA 1.7 xG · 20 shots
MIN 4.1 xG · 50 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 02:47 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 18:25 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 00:42 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 18:47 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 19:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 17.
FLA 17%MIN 83%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 2 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 02:47 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 18:25 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 00:42 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Aaron Ekblad · 3rd 18:47 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 19:55 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:38
Seth Jones· Tripping
Seth Jones· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:19
Nick Foligno· Tripping
Nick Foligno· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
47/50 saves · 3 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Panthers went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Wild power play.