FLA
6–3
OTT
Final · W
Florida Panthers
FLA · 36-35-3
6–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 38-26-10
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
5181704629
OTT
0627113326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
FLA 36-35-3 · OTT 38-26-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers lead the season series 3–0
Panthers beat the Senators
The Panthers were outchanced (3.2 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Linus Ullmark allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 26 and 29 shots on goal.
FLA 2.5 xG · 29 shots
OTT 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 00:08 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 01:06 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 09:09 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
A.J. Greer · 1st 14:02 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 14:36 · 5–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 01:40 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 12:41 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Jordan Spence · 2nd 15:14 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Michael Amadio · 3rd 04:29 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 39.
FLA 39%OTT 61%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 00:08 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 01:06 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 09:09 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
A.J. Greer · 1st 14:02 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 14:36 · 5–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 01:40 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 12:41 · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Jordan Spence · 2nd 15:14 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Michael Amadio · 3rd 04:29 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:15
Shane Pinto· High-sticking
Shane Pinto· High-sticking
Samoskevich scored on this power play
Minor
2
Seth Jones, Matthew Tkachuk · Power play (Pinto, high-sticking) · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:05
Artem Zub· High-sticking
Artem Zub· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:13
Tyler Kleven· High-sticking
Tyler Kleven· High-sticking
Verhaeghe scored on this power play
Minor
3
Matthew Tkachuk, Seth Jones · Power play (Kleven, high-sticking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–0
4
Eetu Luostarinen, Donovan Sebrango · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:04
Sam Bennett· Hooking
Sam Bennett· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:55
Dmitry Kulikov· Hooking
Dmitry Kulikov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:55
Vinnie Hinostroza· Slashing
Vinnie Hinostroza· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
15 min
Penalty
11:26
· Match penalty
· Match penalty
Killed
Penalty
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:22
Gustav Forsling· Tripping
Gustav Forsling· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Panthers went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Senators power plays.