Florida Panthers
FLA · 39-38-4
3–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 33-39-9
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
270613316
NYR
1716014227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
FLA 39-38-4 · NYR 33-39-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Panthers trail the season series 1–2
Panthers beat the Rangers
The Panthers were outchanced (2.3 to 1.0 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Reinhardt's winner came with 1:50 left. Jonathan Quick allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.0, on 27 and 16 shots on goal.
FLA 1.0 xG · 16 shots
NYR 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Reinhardt · 1st 09:35 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 11:31 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Matthew Robertson · 1st 15:19 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Gabe Perreault · 2nd 17:20 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Cole Reinhardt · 3rd 18:10 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 24.
FLA 24%NYR 76%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Reinhardt · 1st 09:35 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 11:31 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Matthew Robertson · 1st 15:19 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Gabe Perreault · 2nd 17:20 · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Cole Reinhardt · 3rd 18:10 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
00:58
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:02
Will Cuylle· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:01
· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:48
Luke Kunin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:48
Tye Kartye· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:49
· Closing hand on puck
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Panthers went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 3 Rangers power plays.