New Jersey Devils
NJD · 27-46-9
3–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 32-40-10
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
191618323
DET
19115311535
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–3
NJD 27-46-9 · DET 32-40-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–3
Devils fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.6 expected goals); the Devils lost 3–5. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 23 and 35 shots on goal.
NJD 2.7 xG · 23 shots
DET 2.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Rasmussen · 1st 01:08 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Dawson Mercer · 1st 17:14 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 06:30 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 15:38 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
5
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 00:54 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 06:57 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Pius Suter · 3rd 10:33 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 19:50 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 52.
NJD 52%DET 48%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Rasmussen · 1st 01:08 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Dawson Mercer · 1st 17:14 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 06:30 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 15:38 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
5
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 00:54 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 06:57 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Pius Suter · 3rd 10:33 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 19:50 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.