New Jersey Devils
NJD · 16-4-0
1–2
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 11-5-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
05016114135
TOR
2100406220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 16-4-0 · TOR 11-5-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils fell to the Maple Leafs
The Devils created the better chances (3.7 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Matt Murray stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 20 shots on goal.
NJD 3.7 xG · 35 shots
TOR 2.1 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
3rd
1.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 11:41 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 14:03 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 14:52 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 74.
NJD 74%TOR 26%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 11:41 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 14:03 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 14:52 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.