New Jersey Devils
NJD · 21-8-2
2–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
01217113232
FLA
11226111429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
NJD 21-8-2 · FLA 15-13-4 · First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
Devils fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.5 expected goals); the Devils lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
NJD 2.7 xG · 32 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
3rd
1.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 08:54 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 07:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
John Marino · 2nd 11:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:20 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 16:30 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:49 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 54.
NJD 54%FLA 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 08:54 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 07:49 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
John Marino · 2nd 11:27 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 19:20 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 16:30 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:49 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.