New Jersey Devils
NJD · 23-11-3
4–5
Final / SOL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 25-6-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NJD
0711137030428
CAR
09219215041547
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–2
NJD 23-11-3 · CAR 25-6-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–2
Devils fell to the Hurricanes
The Devils were outchanced (4.4 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Antti Raanta allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 47 and 28 shots on goal.
NJD 2.6 xG · 28 shots
CAR 4.4 xG · 47 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.9
OT
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Stepan · 2nd 08:00 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 16:18 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 18:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 06:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Derek Stepan · 3rd 08:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nico Hischier · 3rd 08:38 · 3–3 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 13:48 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Martin Necas · 3rd 15:32 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 24.
NJD 24%CAR 76%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Stepan · 2nd 08:00 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 16:18 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 18:14 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 06:15 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Derek Stepan · 3rd 08:04 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nico Hischier · 3rd 08:38 · 3–3
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 13:48 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Martin Necas · 3rd 15:32 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Hurricanes
Goaltending
43/47 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.