NJD
3–4
TOR
Final · L
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 41-16-6
3–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 39-17-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0151929333
TOR
0511436425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
NJD 41-16-6 · TOR 39-17-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
Devils fell to the Maple Leafs
The Devils created the better chances (4.1 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Matthews's winner came with 2:53 left. Vitek Vanecek allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
NJD 4.1 xG · 33 shots
TOR 2.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 07:30 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 16:47 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Mitch Marner · 3rd 04:57 · 1–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (37%)
4
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 06:00 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 09:02 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Michael Bunting · 3rd 15:10 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 17:07 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 68.
NJD 68%TOR 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 07:30 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 16:47 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Mitch Marner · 3rd 04:57 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (37%)
4
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 06:00 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Erik Haula · 3rd 09:02 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Michael Bunting · 3rd 15:10 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 17:07 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
