New Jersey Devils
NJD · 44-17-7
3–4
Final / SOL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 41-22-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NJD
0811429040335
TBL
1101813031424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–2
NJD 44-17-7 · TBL 41-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–2
Devils fell to the Lightning
The Devils created the better chances (4.9 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 35 and 24 shots on goal.
NJD 4.9 xG · 35 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
2.0 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.2
OT
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 01:09 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 08:59 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 18:11 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Timo Meier · 3rd 09:41 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 15:13 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 17:44 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 80.
NJD 80%TBL 20%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 01:09 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 08:59 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 18:11 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Timo Meier · 3rd 09:41 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 15:13 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 17:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Lightning
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.