New Jersey Devils
NJD · 46-19-8
5–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 35-33-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
111213211535
OTT
1729012328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 3–0
NJD 46-19-8 · OTT 35-33-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 3–0
Devils beat the Senators
The Devils earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.6, on 35 and 28 shots on goal.
NJD 3.8 xG · 35 shots
OTT 1.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 03:14 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 10:21 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 02:24 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 03:33 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 09:22 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 16:03 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 03:34 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 19:17 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 83.
NJD 83%OTT 17%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 03:14 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 10:21 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 02:24 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 03:33 · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 09:22 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 16:03 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 03:34 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 19:17 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.