New Jersey Devils
NJD · 51-22-8
6–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 40-33-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
11029311630
BUF
010115113238
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
NJD 51-22-8 · BUF 40-33-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–1
Devils beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.6 to 3.0 expected goals); the Devils won 6–2. Devon Levi allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 30 and 38 shots on goal.
NJD 2.6 xG · 30 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesper Boqvist · 1st 11:42 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Jonas Siegenthaler · 2nd 01:06 · 2–0 · slap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 06:55 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
Miles Wood · 2nd 09:28 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 07:10 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Mattias Samuelsson · 3rd 13:15 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 17:28 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
8
Jack Hughes · 3rd 18:15 · 6–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 43.
NJD 43%BUF 57%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesper Boqvist · 1st 11:42 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Jonas Siegenthaler · 2nd 01:06 · 2–0
Slap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 06:55 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
Miles Wood · 2nd 09:28 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 07:10 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Mattias Samuelsson · 3rd 13:15 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Tomas Tatar · 3rd 17:28 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
8
Jack Hughes · 3rd 18:15 · EN · 6–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
2
Nico Hischier, Tomas Tatar · slap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.