New Jersey Devils
NJD · 5-5
8–4
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
3921639834
CAR
0621529430
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Devils trail the series 1–2
NJD 5-5 · CAR 6-3 · Game 3 — the Devils trail the series 1–2
Devils beat the Hurricanes
The Devils earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, and a 8–4 win to show for it. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 34 and 30 shots on goal.
NJD 3.6 xG · 34 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.7 · 1.3
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Timo Meier · 1st 05:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 10:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael McLeod · 1st 12:31 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 00:53 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 02:00 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Damon Severson · 2nd 05:33 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 12:18 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Miles Wood · 3rd 03:08 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:17 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Jordan Staal · 3rd 07:21 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 08:11 · 7–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
12
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 10:47 · 8–4 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 63.
NJD 63%CAR 37%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Timo Meier · 1st 05:58 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 10:55 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael McLeod · 1st 12:31 · SH · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 00:53 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 02:00 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Damon Severson · 2nd 05:33 · GWG · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 12:18 · PS · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Miles Wood · 3rd 03:08 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:17 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Jordan Staal · 3rd 07:21 · SH · 7–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 08:11 · SH · 7–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
12
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 10:47 · PP · 8–4
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Dawson Mercer, Jonas Siegenthaler · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7–2
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.