NJD
1–6
CAR
Final · L
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 5-6
1–6
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 7-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
180905122
CAR
19510010629
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Devils trail the series 1–3
NJD 5-6 · CAR 7-3 · Game 4 — the Devils trail the series 1–3
Devils fell to the Hurricanes
The Devils were outchanced (2.8 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost 1–6. Vitek Vanecek allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.4, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
NJD 1.4 xG · 22 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
0.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Hughes · 1st 01:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 1st 17:40 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 07:26 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Brett Pesce · 2nd 09:51 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jesper Fast · 2nd 11:07 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brent Burns · 2nd 12:46 · 1–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 19:36 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 26.
NJD 26%CAR 74%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Hughes · 1st 01:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 1st 17:40 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 07:26 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Brett Pesce · 2nd 09:51 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jesper Fast · 2nd 11:07 · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brent Burns · 2nd 12:46 · 1–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 19:36 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Jordan Martinook · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–5
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
12/17 saves · 5 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/12 saves · 1 GA · 0.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
