New Jersey Devils
NJD · 1-0-0
4–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0621526427
DET
014111210335
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Devils lead the season series 1–0
NJD 1-0-0 · DET 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Devils lead the season series 1–0
Devils beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Devils won 4–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 27 and 35 shots on goal.
NJD 2.8 xG · 27 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Daniel Sprong · 2nd 12:14 · 0–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 13:39 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jack Hughes · 2nd 18:43 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 10:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 15:37 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Erik Haula · 3rd 18:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 19:26 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 48.
NJD 48%DET 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Daniel Sprong · 2nd 12:14 · 0–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 13:39 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jack Hughes · 2nd 18:43 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 10:43 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Dougie Hamilton · 3rd 15:37 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Erik Haula · 3rd 18:29 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 19:26 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.