New Jersey Devils
NJD · 3-2-1
4–6
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 2-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0241406422
WSH
3807310625
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
NJD 3-2-1 · WSH 2-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
Devils fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Devils lost 4–6. Akira Schmid allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 22 and 25 shots on goal.
NJD 2.8 xG · 22 shots
WSH 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 06:37 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 15:52 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
· 1st 17:28 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 04:31 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 05:19 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Nico Hischier · 2nd 06:42 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 10:01 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
8
Dylan Strome · 3rd 00:18 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Connor McMichael · 3rd 02:09 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 18:25 · 4–6 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 53.
NJD 53%WSH 47%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 06:37 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 15:52 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
· 1st 17:28 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 04:31 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Timo Meier · 2nd 05:19 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Nico Hischier · 2nd 06:42 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 10:01 · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
8
Dylan Strome · 3rd 00:18 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Connor McMichael · 3rd 02:09 · GWG · 4–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 18:25 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
5/8 saves · 3 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.