NJD
5–4
BUF
Final · W
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 4-2-1
5–4
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 3-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
21517217539
BUF
21211114427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Devils lead the season series 1–0
NJD 4-2-1 · BUF 3-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Devils lead the season series 1–0
Devils beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.6 expected goals); the Devils won 5–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 39 and 27 shots on goal.
NJD 3.1 xG · 39 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 1.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 06:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Alexander Holtz · 1st 07:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 15:42 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 1st 16:11 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Erik Haula · 2nd 13:47 · 3–2 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (14%)
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 17:32 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Jack Hughes · 3rd 02:09 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 12:35 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Erik Haula · 3rd 14:17 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 58.
NJD 58%BUF 42%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 06:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Alexander Holtz · 1st 07:41 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 15:42 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Jesper Bratt · 1st 16:11 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Erik Haula · 2nd 13:47 · SH · 3–2
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (14%)
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 17:32 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Jack Hughes · 3rd 02:09 · PP · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 12:35 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Erik Haula · 3rd 14:17 · GWG · 5–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
