New Jersey Devils
NJD · 9-9-1
7–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 9-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
417110210737
BUF
031316212
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–0
NJD 9-9-1 · BUF 9-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–0
Devils beat the Sabres
The Devils earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 1.1, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Eric Comrie allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 1.1, on 37 and 12 shots on goal.
NJD 4.5 xG · 37 shots
BUF 1.1 xG · 12 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.2
2nd
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Holtz · 1st 01:31 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 11:09 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Nico Hischier · 1st 15:20 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
4
Ondrej Palat · 1st 18:27 · 4–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
5
· 2nd 01:53 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 02:44 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 00:50 · 6–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 03:55 · 6–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Luke Hughes · 3rd 05:38 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 92.
NJD 92%BUF 8%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Holtz · 1st 01:31 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 11:09 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Nico Hischier · 1st 15:20 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
4
Ondrej Palat · 1st 18:27 · 4–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
5
· 2nd 01:53 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 02:44 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 00:50 · 6–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 03:55 · PP · 6–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Luke Hughes · 3rd 05:38 · PP · 7–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
6
Alexander Holtz, Luke Hughes · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/12 saves · 2 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.