New Jersey Devils
NJD · 10-9-1
5–4
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 8-7-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
18110315533
NYI
1831206426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–0
NJD 10-9-1 · NYI 8-7-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Devils lead the season series 2–0
Devils beat the Islanders
Down 2–4 in the 2nd period, the Devils erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Hischier's equalizer — and won 5–4. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
NJD 3.3 xG · 33 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
0.8 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 05:16 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Michael McLeod · 1st 10:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 04:19 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 08:24 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 09:40 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 13:05 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:08 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Nico Hischier · 3rd 11:10 · 4–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Curtis Lazar · 3rd 19:37 · 5–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 54.
NJD 54%NYI 46%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 05:16 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Michael McLeod · 1st 10:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 04:19 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 08:24 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 09:40 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 13:05 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:08 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Nico Hischier · 3rd 11:10 · PP · 4–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Curtis Lazar · 3rd 19:37 · GWG · 5–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Jack Hughes, Luke Hughes · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–4
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/8 saves · 0 GA · 0.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.