New Jersey Devils
NJD · 23-18-3
2–6
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 27-13-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0140829231
DAL
11431626636
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
NJD 23-18-3 · DAL 27-13-5 · First meeting this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–1
Devils fell to the Stars
The Devils were outchanced (4.2 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Nico Daws allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 36 and 31 shots on goal.
NJD 2.5 xG · 31 shots
DAL 4.2 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 05:42 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 07:58 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 16:31 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Roope Hintz · 2nd 19:42 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Craig Smith · 3rd 02:10 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 07:18 · 0–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 13:15 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 19:00 · 2–6 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 26.
NJD 26%DAL 74%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 05:42 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 07:58 · SH · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Matt Duchene · 2nd 16:31 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Roope Hintz · 2nd 19:42 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Craig Smith · 3rd 02:10 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 07:18 · 0–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 13:15 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 19:00 · 2–6
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/36 saves · 6 GA · 4.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.