NJD
5–3
COL
Final · W
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 25-20-3
5–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 32-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
11321424531
COL
11209217338
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 25-20-3 · COL 32-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.4 expected goals); the Devils won 5–3. Marino's winner came with 2:17 left. The Devils owned the 2nd period, 2.1 to 0.7 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.4, on 31 and 38 shots on goal.
NJD 3.3 xG · 31 shots
COL 3.4 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.4 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 01:23 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Chris Tierney · 1st 02:05 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 03:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 06:47 · 3–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
5
Cale Makar · 3rd 08:29 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Samuel Girard · 3rd 08:58 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
John Marino · 3rd 17:43 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Erik Haula · 3rd 19:58 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 50.
NJD 50%COL 50%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 01:23 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Chris Tierney · 1st 02:05 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 03:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 06:47 · 3–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
5
Cale Makar · 3rd 08:29 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Samuel Girard · 3rd 08:58 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
John Marino · 3rd 17:43 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Erik Haula · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
