NJD
3–5
CGY
Final · L
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 25-21-3
3–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 24-22-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
112011217340
CGY
110110310530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NJD 25-21-3 · CGY 24-22-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Devils fell to the Flames
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.7 expected goals); the Devils lost 3–5. Vitek Vanecek allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 40 and 30 shots on goal.
NJD 3.0 xG · 40 shots
CGY 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ondrej Palat · 1st 15:39 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 1st 18:10 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Connor Zary · 2nd 03:53 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (59%)
4
Kevin Rooney · 3rd 02:55 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 04:02 · 2–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (21%)
6
Andrei Kuzmenko · 3rd 09:56 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 13:46 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 18:26 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 55.
NJD 55%CGY 45%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Devils shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ondrej Palat · 1st 15:39 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 1st 18:10 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Connor Zary · 2nd 03:53 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (59%)
4
Kevin Rooney · 3rd 02:55 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 04:02 · SH · 2–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (21%)
6
Andrei Kuzmenko · 3rd 09:56 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 13:46 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 18:26 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Noah Hanifin, Chris Tanev · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
