New Jersey Devils
NJD · 29-25-4
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 32-23-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
0611003119
TBL
0921028427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–3
NJD 29-25-4 · TBL 32-23-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 0–3
Devils fell to the Lightning
The Devils were outchanced (2.6 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 1–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 27 and 19 shots on goal.
NJD 1.8 xG · 19 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Hedman · 2nd 01:27 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 04:15 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 06:01 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 09:38 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:25 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 35.
NJD 35%TBL 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Hedman · 2nd 01:27 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 04:15 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 06:01 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 09:38 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:25 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.