New Jersey Devils
NJD · 30-28-4
3–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 43-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD
1311417324
FLA
21119211531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
NJD 30-28-4 · FLA 43-16-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Devils trail the season series 1–2
Devils fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.4 expected goals); the Devils lost 3–5. Akira Schmid allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 24 and 31 shots on goal.
NJD 2.7 xG · 24 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 02:54 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 06:30 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jack Hughes · 1st 11:45 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 11:01 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 12:37 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nick Cousins · 3rd 05:33 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Colin Miller · 3rd 11:16 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:52 · 3–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Devils win 55.
NJD 55%FLA 45%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 02:54 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 06:30 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jack Hughes · 1st 11:45 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 11:01 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 12:37 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nick Cousins · 3rd 05:33 · GWG · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Colin Miller · 3rd 11:16 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 3–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
5
Dmitry Kulikov, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.